- Eurozone Manufacturing PMI advanced to 45.9 in October, beating the 45.1 forecast.
- Bloc’s Services PMI dropped to 51.2 in October vs. 51.6 anticipated.
- EUR/USD keeps gains near 1.0800 after German, Eurozone PMI data.
The Eurozone manufacturing sector contraction eased while the services sector activity deteriorated further in October, according to the data from the HCOB’s latest Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) Survey published on Thursday.
The Eurozone Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) rose to 45.9 in October from 45.0 in September, bettering the expected 45.1 print. The index rebounded to a five-month high.
The bloc’s Services PMI slipped to 51.2 in October from 51.4 in September. The data came in below the market consensus of 51.6 and reached an eight-month bottom.
The HCOB Eurozone PMI Composite improved slightly to 49.7 in October vs. 49.7 expected and September’s 49.6. The data hit a two-month high.
EUR/USD reaction to the Eurozone PMI data
EUR/USD retakes 1.0800 on the mixed Eurozone PMI data, adding 0.18% on a daily basis.
Euro FAQs
The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).
The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB’s primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates – or the expectation of higher rates – will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.
Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB’s 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.
Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone’s economy.
Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.
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