San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly maintains that two rate cuts this year remain a reasonable projection, but with robust economic indicators, policymakers can hold off on reducing rates until they evaluate how businesses adapt to tariff costs.
Key Quotes
Two rate cuts still a reasonable projection for 2025.
Need wait-and-see posture on monetary policy, give industries time to adjust to tariffs.
Growth and labor market remain solid.
Making sure we are on sustainable path to 2% inflation is top of mind.
Policy is in a good place, have to be patient to ensure inflation comes down.
She has not changed her rate-path projection since last year, doesn’t have enough info to make a change.
Hearing ‘cautious optimism’ from businesses.
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