HBAR price risks correction to $0.07 as structure shifts

HBAR price faces downside risk after losing key support at $0.09, with bearish intraday structure increasing the probability of a corrective move toward $0.07.

Hedera (HBAR) price action is showing early signs of structural weakness following a decisive loss of high-timeframe support near the $0.09 level. What previously acted as a strong demand zone has now transitioned into resistance, marking an important shift in market structure.

This transition is technically significant. When former support flips into resistance, it often signals a change in market control from buyers to sellers. Recent price movements suggest that HBAR is now undergoing a bearish retest of this level, a common market behavior that frequently precedes continuation to the downside.

As long as HBAR trades below $0.09, the broader technical outlook favors further corrective movement, with the next major support region located near $0.07 coming into focus.

HBAR price key technical points

• $0.09 support flipped into resistance: Structural breakdown confirms bearish shift
• Point of control under threat: Loss of key volume support could accelerate downside momentum
• $0.07 high-timeframe support targeted: Next major demand zone within current range

HBAR’s recent price action has been technically constructive in defining market direction. The confirmed loss of the $0.09 level represents a major structural development. Markets often respect these transitions strongly, as participants who previously bought at support may begin selling when price retests the level from below.

The current bounce toward resistance appears corrective rather than impulsive. Instead of establishing higher highs, price is forming a potential lower high within the intraday structure. This behavior aligns with a bearish retest scenario, where temporary upward movement allows sellers to re-enter positions before continuation lower.

From a market structure perspective, maintaining acceptance below $0.09 keeps sellers firmly in control. Until this level is reclaimed, bullish continuation remains unlikely in the short term.

Point of control becomes critical volume support

Another important level to monitor is the point of control (POC), which represents the area of highest traded volume within the broader range. The POC often acts as a final area of equilibrium before price transitions into expansion.

If HBAR loses acceptance around this level, it would signal that the market has abandoned its last major volume-based support. This development could significantly increase downside momentum.Below the POC lies a region of relatively thin volume, meaning fewer historical transactions exist to slow price movement. When markets enter low-volume zones, price tends to move quickly as liquidity gaps allow accelerated rotations toward lower value areas.

This technical dynamic strengthens the probability of a move toward the value area low and ultimately the $0.07 high-timeframe support.

Bearish retest suggests lower high formation

From a price action standpoint, the current local bounce appears to be a bearish retest rather than a trend reversal. Intraday structure continues to favor lower highs and weakening momentum, suggesting that the market is preparing for another rotational move downward.

Bearish retests typically occur after structural breakdowns, allowing price to revisit former support levels before sellers resume control. HBAR’s inability to reclaim resistance supports this interpretation.

If price forms a confirmed lower high beneath $0.09, it would further validate the bearish continuation thesis. This setup increases the likelihood that HBAR rotates toward deeper support levels as part of a broader corrective phase.

What to expect in the coming price action

From a technical, price action, and market structure perspective, HBAR remains vulnerable while trading below the $0.09 resistance. The current rebound appears corrective within a bearish intraday trend. A loss of the point of control could trigger accelerated downside movement toward the $0.07 high-timeframe support.

Unless buyers reclaim higher value and invalidate the lower-high structure, the probability favors continued downside rotation in the near term.