Price movements in Euro (EUR) vs US Dollar (USD) are likely part of a range trading phase between 1.0845 and 1.0910. In the longer run, more than week-long rally is taking a pause; EUR is likely to consolidate in a 1.0680/1.0950 range for now, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
More than week-long rally is taking a pause
24-HOUR VIEW: “Last Thursday, EUR fell to a low of 1.0820. On Friday, we noted a ‘mild downward pressure’, and we were of the view that EUR ‘could edge below 1.0820 but is unlikely to reach 1.0770.’ EUR subsequently dipped to 1.0829 before staging a surprising sharp, but brief, rise to 1.0912. EUR closed higher by 0.25% at 1.0879. The price movements are likely part of a range trading phase, probably between 1.0845 and 1.0910.”
1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “After holding positive EUR view for more than a week, we revised our outlook to neutral last Friday (14 Mar, spot at 1.0850). We indicated the following: ‘The more than week-long rally is taking a pause, and the current price movements are likely part of a consolidation phase. For now, we expect EUR to trade in a 1.0680/1.0950 range. While this range may seem wide, it is not unexpected given the size of the recent rally.’ Our update still stands.”
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