Despite seeing multiple crashes over the last few months, the expectations for the Bitcoin (BTC) price remain incredibly high following a spike in exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows. Leading this forecast is crypto analyst Micky Bull, who has unveiled another bullish prediction, putting the BTC price above the coveted $100,000 mark.
Bitcoin ETFs Positive Inflow To Trigger Bitcoin Price Surge
The U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw positive inflows of $39.02 million on September 12, 2024, marking a reversal from previous low volumes. Conversely, Ethereum ETFs experienced a net outflow of $20.14 million, with some ETFs registering no change.
Typically, positive inflows occur when the cost basis for ETF investors ( the original value of BTC for tax purposes) exceeds Bitcoin’s current price. According to CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju, the cost basis for “New Custodial Wallets/ETFs” is $62,000, while Bitcoin is trading at around $57,000, implying that most ETF investors are currently at a loss.
The convergence of increased ETF inflows, institutional accumulation, and historical patterns has led analysts to agree that Bitcoin (BTC) is on the verge of a significant rally.
Miky Bull, for example, has raised his Bitcoin price target to $112,000, expressing confidence in the cryptocurrency’s potential to surpass previous highs. According to his post on X, BTC could be set for a parabolic rally, reaching a cycle top in the coming months. His analysis is based solely on historical trends following past Bitcoin halvings.
As he stated: “History has indeed prevailed. In Q4 of both 2016 and 2020, post-halving, we witnessed the start of a parabolic rally to a cycle top. Bitcoin is headed for a first target of $112,000 this year.” Thus, by speculation, the recent spike in ETF inflows could serve as a catalyst, influencing investment and adoption.
BTC Will Hit The $65,000 Mark First
Bitcoin’s recent price action has formed an intriguing chart pattern that, if completed, could signal a bullish reversal and propel Bitcoin towards $65,000. An inverted head and shoulders (H&S) pattern is emerging, suggesting a potential price target of around $65,000. However, this requires a break above the current consolidation zone ($62,000), which could trigger another sell-side liquidity hunt.
A break above the H&S neckline, which lies at $59,500, could initiate a surge to the top of the range, potentially reaching $65,000 in a second buy-side liquidity run before retracing. However, a break above $65,000 with confirmed volume could lead to a more significant rally, potentially surpassing the previous all-time high to reach the $112,000 mark predicted by the analyst Mikky Bull.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
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